Why are African-American births plummeting?
As you likely know, an increased rate of decline in births began in the US and much of the world a few years before Covid exacerbated the decline. Why the birth dearth sped up around 2017 is uncertain. There’s no obvious explanation for what was going on around 2016 to depress conception in many countries, like the economic crash of 2008 or the pandemic of 2020.
The CDC has just released provisional 2024 birthrate totals (you can find the CDC’s extensive Natality data interface here). Here in the U.S., total births were up 0.6% in 2024, although that rise is due to increasing births to immigrant mothers.
Interestingly, the CDC Natality interface allows you to distinguish between U.S.-born and foreign-born mothers, which most other federal data does not. (Apparently, you just ask people where they were born and they tell you.)
RTWT @ Steve Sailer