According to X user Birth Gauge, 2025 was not the best year for American blacks and Hispanics when it came to birth rates. By the end of the third quarter 2025, the total fertility rate (that is, the average number of children a woman has in her lifetime) decreased for both groups, while it actually increased for whites. Birth Gauge breaks it down thusly with 2024 numbers in parentheses (emphasis showing increase):
Of course, the typical caveats apply. Most of these children were conceived before Trump’s second inauguration, so it is unclear if we can credit Trump for these changes. These are also fairly minute changes, and it is sometimes questionable how people can be classified as white or not white for these statistics. Regardless, it is fair to say that that the majority of these children were conceived after Trump’s iconic “Fight! Fight! Fight!” moment in the summer of 2024, when he quite literally dodged an assassin’s bullet. One conclusion which can be drawn here is that the realistic promise of re-electing Donald Trump—who, for all his faults, is more pro-white, pro-America, and pro-natalist than any president before him in many decades—has encouraged whites to have more babies, and blacks and Hispanics to have fewer of them. Another conclusion is that because of significant genetic differences between these populations, what is demographically good for whites most likely will be bad for blacks and Hispanics, and vice-versa.
Currently, there is a low-grade civil war in America between whites, which can be viewed through this stark demographic lens. On one side you have the Right (i.e., people who think the above changes are good), and on the other you have the Left (i.e., people who think these changes are bad). Of course, there are other factors in play here—which is natural whenever we conceptualize human behavior—but I’m confident that a simple Yes/No question pinpointing a person’s opinion on these demographic changes can fairly accurately predict which side he is on in this conflict.
